Alphabet Inc.
GOOGL · Communication Services · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
25
/ 100
Technical
20
Trend & RS
34
Momentum
13
Fundamental (0%)
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
85
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 20.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 33.6 | 20% |
| Momentum | 13.1 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 84.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 282.57 |
| Stop Loss | 260.79 (7.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 304.35 (+7.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 326.13 (+15.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 10.89 (3.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 21.78 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 64.1 | +0.56 | |
| Momentum | 12.0 | -1.52 | |
| Quality | 88.4 | +1.54 | |
| Composite | 54.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.8 | 18.0 | -18% below |
| P/B Ratio | 5.3 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 31.0% | 1.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
590.23
vs
Market Price
282.57
Upside
+108.9%
| Margin of Safety | +52.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,435,737,549,634 |
| Terminal Value PV | 5,820,526,245,539 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 7,256,263,795,173 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 188,344,076,247 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 24.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
11.15%
Full Kelly
5.58%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 25/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.5%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
27.99
RSI(14)
-16.5392
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
46
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-15.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -15.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 27.99 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -16.5392 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 334.02 / 339.44 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.4x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 408.61 |
| Bollinger Upper | 377.13 |
| SMA(200) | 339.44 |
| SMA(50) | 334.02 |
| SMA(20) | 320.79 |
| Current Price | 282.57 |
| Bollinger Lower | 264.45 |
| 52-Week Low | 270.70 |
| ATR(14) | 10.89 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.28x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 301.67 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 318.16 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 309.91 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 320.55 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 309.91 – 320.55 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 282.57 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 338.24 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 264.45 – 377.13 | KC: 304.9 – 336.67
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 331.23
Anchor: 2025-11-14 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-14.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/GOOGL
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 3473.92B |
| P/E (TTM) | 14.76 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.27 |
| EPS | 19.15 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 24.7% |
| Profit Margin | 50.0% |
| ROE | 44.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 22.19 |
| Current Ratio | 2.79 |
| Dividend Yield | 31.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.23 |
Trading Data
282.57
Open
282.57
Day High
282.57
Day Low
52.72M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)