Alphabet Inc.

GOOGL · Communication Services · · USD

357.18 USD

0.00 (-0.48%)

● Updated 2026-07-11 22:38 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 72

Momentum 59

Fundamental (0%) 89

Macro 75

Liquidity 56

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	72.2	20%
Momentum	59.0	20%
Fundamental	88.9	0%
Macro	74.8	15%
Liquidity	55.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	357.18
Stop Loss	335.76 (6.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	378.60 (+6.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	400.02 (+12.0%)

ATR(14)	10.71 (3.0%)
Risk per Share	21.42
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	24.2	-1.03
Momentum	59.0	+0.36
Quality	78.1	+1.12
Composite	53.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 29.72 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	27.2	18.0	+51% above
P/B Ratio	9.0	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	25.0%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

362.22

Market Price

357.18

Upside

+1.4%

Margin of Safety	+1.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	434,602,796,168
Terminal Value PV	1,690,576,233,834
Total Enterprise Value	2,125,179,030,002

Assumptions

Base FCF	61,534,729,926
Growth Rate (5yr)	21.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

45.86%

Full Kelly

22.93%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

47.0

RSI(14)

-1.7758

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (+0.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (43d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+10.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	47.0	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.7758	BULLISH
Ma Cross	372.62 / 318.58	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.51x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	408.61
Bollinger Upper	376.81
SMA(200)	318.58
SMA(50)	372.62
SMA(20)	357.88
Current Price	357.18
Bollinger Lower	338.96
52-Week Low	179.68
ATR(14)	10.71

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.62x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Supply	0.51x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	356.92	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	353.10	Base line
Senkou A	355.01	Leading span A
Senkou B	369.28	Leading span B
Cloud	355.01 – 369.28	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	357.18	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	358.78	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL