Alphabet Inc.

GOOGL · Communication Services · · USD

387.35 USD

0.00 (-0.33%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 23:48 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 80

Trend & RS 98

Momentum 93

Fundamental (0%) 89

Macro 62

Liquidity 63

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	80.0	40%
Trend & RS	98.4	20%
Momentum	92.7	20%
Fundamental	88.9	0%
Macro	62.4	15%
Liquidity	62.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	387.35
Stop Loss	368.55 (4.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	406.15 (+4.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	424.95 (+9.7%)

ATR(14)	9.40 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	18.80
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	17.0	-1.32
Momentum	92.7	+1.71
Quality	78.1	+1.12
Composite	62.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 31.81 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	29.6	18.0	+64% above
P/B Ratio	9.8	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	23.0%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

361.94

Market Price

387.35

Upside

-6.6%

Margin of Safety	-7.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	431,052,226,944
Terminal Value PV	1,676,764,753,555
Total Enterprise Value	2,107,816,980,499

Assumptions

Base FCF	61,032,010,384
Growth Rate (5yr)	21.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

52.99%

Full Kelly

26.5%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 83/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 10.0%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

70.41

RSI(14)

20.6444

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+14.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+24.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	70.41	OVERBOUGHT
Macd	20.6444	BULLISH
Ma Cross	326.87 / 287.98	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.91x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	402.00
Bollinger Upper	415.14
SMA(200)	287.98
SMA(50)	326.87
SMA(20)	363.61
Current Price	387.35
Bollinger Lower	312.08
52-Week Low	156.16
ATR(14)	9.4

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	1.11x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	383.91	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	349.86	Base line
Senkou A	366.88	Leading span A
Senkou B	337.06	Leading span B
Cloud	337.06 – 366.88	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	387.35	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	305.46	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH