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Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

PANW · Technology · · USD
333.26 USD
+0.00 (0.40%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 18:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

67
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 77
Momentum 76
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 57
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 77.2 30%
Momentum 75.6 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 56.6 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 333.26
Stop Loss 295.56 (11.3%)
Target 1 (1:1) 370.96 (+11.3%)
Target 2 (2:1) 408.66 (+22.6%)
ATR(14) 18.85 (5.7%)
Risk per Share 37.70
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 1.1 -1.96
Momentum 75.6 +1.02
Quality 19.8 -1.21
Composite 32.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 284.8 28.0 +917% above
P/B Ratio 9.8 6.0 Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
36.47
vs
Market Price
333.26
Upside
-89.1%
Margin of Safety -813.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)5,860,954,613
Terminal Value PV23,859,511,772
Total Enterprise Value29,720,466,385

Assumptions

Base FCF762,840,019
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
43.85%
Full Kelly
21.92%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 67/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
43.5
RSI(14)
-1.2303
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

92
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+17.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (16d since high)
Sector Outperformance +28.7% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 43.5 NEUTRAL
Macd -1.2303 BEARISH
Ma Cross 349.3 / 233.07 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.91x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High398.88
Bollinger Upper406.44
SMA(200)233.07
SMA(50)349.3
SMA(20)363.78
Current Price333.26
Bollinger Lower321.12
52-Week Low139.57
ATR(14)18.85

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.43x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.51x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Stopping Volume 2.14x High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-09-03 Normal 1.12x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.91x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 354.36 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 359.18 Base line
Senkou A 356.77 Leading span A
Senkou B 341.58 Leading span B
Cloud 341.58 – 356.77 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 333.26 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 331.83 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 321.12 – 406.44  |  KC: 335.65 – 391.91

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish RSI 8
Regular Bearish RSI 24

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 249.27 Anchor: 2026-02-24 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +33.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/PANW

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap271.61B
P/E (TTM)284.84
Forward P/EN/A
P/B9.79
EPS1.17

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth34.4%
Profit Margin2.7%
ROE1.7%
Debt/Equity9.09
Current Ratio0.87
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.91

Trading Data

333.26
Open
333.26
Day High
333.26
Day Low
5.64M
Volume (0.8x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —