Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
PANW · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
64
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
79
Momentum
50
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
87
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 78.8 | 10% |
| Momentum | 50.3 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 87.0 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 314.67 |
| Stop Loss | 274.03 (12.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 355.31 (+12.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 395.95 (+25.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 20.32 (6.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 40.64 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 3.5 | -1.86 | |
| Momentum | 45.7 | -0.17 | |
| Quality | 19.8 | -1.21 | |
| Composite | 23.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 786.7 | 28.0 | +2710% above |
| P/B Ratio | 9.3 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
12.47
vs
Market Price
314.67
Upside
-96.0%
| Margin of Safety | -2424.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,012,210,387 |
| Terminal Value PV | 8,191,559,324 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 10,203,769,711 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 261,901,808 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
41.97%
Full Kelly
20.98%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
33.01
RSI(14)
-8.9698
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
96
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-8.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (22d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -19.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 33.01 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -8.9698 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 371.68 / 272.93 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.18x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 432.33 |
| Bollinger Upper | 422.48 |
| SMA(200) | 272.93 |
| SMA(50) | 371.68 |
| SMA(20) | 368.73 |
| Current Price | 314.67 |
| Bollinger Lower | 314.98 |
| 52-Week Low | 139.57 |
| ATR(14) | 20.32 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.24x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.09x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.18x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 359.50 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 372.23 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 365.86 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 372.23 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 365.86 – 372.23 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 314.67 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 396.25 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 314.98 – 422.48 | KC: 337.76 – 399.7
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 273.44
Anchor: 2026-02-24 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+15.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/PANW
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 257.54B |
| P/E (TTM) | 786.68 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 9.33 |
| EPS | 0.40 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 34.5% |
| Profit Margin | 2.7% |
| ROE | 1.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 9.34 |
| Current Ratio | 0.87 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.97 |
Trading Data
314.67
Open
314.67
Day High
314.67
Day Low
13.26M
Volume (2.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)