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Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

PANW · Technology · · USD
213.66 USD
+0.00 (2.78%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 11:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

66
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 87
Momentum 82
Fundamental (0%) 67
Macro 65
Liquidity 58
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 40%
Trend & RS 86.8 20%
Momentum 82.4 20%
Fundamental 66.7 0%
Macro 65.1 15%
Liquidity 58.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 213.66
Stop Loss 197.76 (7.4%)
Target 1 (1:1) 229.56 (+7.4%)
Target 2 (2:1) 245.46 (+14.9%)
ATR(14) 7.95 (3.7%)
Risk per Share 15.90
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 82.4 +1.29
Quality 38.0 -0.48
Composite 40.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 119.4 28.0 +326% above
P/B Ratio 16.0 6.0 Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
37.80
vs
Market Price
213.66
Upside
-82.3%
Margin of Safety -465.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)6,820,568,467
Terminal Value PV23,836,475,925
Total Enterprise Value30,657,044,392

Assumptions

Base FCF1,161,352,036
Growth Rate (5yr)14.9%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
43.6%
Full Kelly
21.8%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 66/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
78.31
RSI(14)
9.5112
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

91
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+21.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance -12.7% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 78.31 OVERBOUGHT
Macd 9.5112 BULLISH
Ma Cross 169.67 / 184.94 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger UPPER BAND
Volume 1.39x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High223.61
Bollinger Upper207.18
SMA(200)184.94
SMA(50)169.67
SMA(20)180.71
Current Price213.66
Bollinger Lower154.23
52-Week Low139.57
ATR(14)7.95

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 0.76x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 0.83x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 1.56x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 1.72x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.39x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 193.71 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 182.79 Base line
Senkou A 188.25 Leading span A
Senkou B 178.90 Leading span B
Cloud 178.90 – 188.25 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 213.66 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 161.95 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 154.23 – 207.18  |  KC: 169.77 – 191.64

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 165.68 Anchor: 2026-02-24 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +29.0%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/PANW

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap173.28B
P/E (TTM)119.36
Forward P/EN/A
P/B15.99
EPS1.79

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth14.9%
Profit Margin13.0%
ROE16.3%
Debt/Equity4.89
Current Ratio1.04
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.77

Trading Data

213.66
Open
213.66
Day High
213.66
Day Low
9.39M
Volume (1.0x avg)

Recent News (8)

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know
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Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Valuation Check After Analyst Upgrades CEO Buying And AI Security Partnership News
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24/7 Wall St. · 2026-05-08
DDOG Stock To $400?
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Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on Palo Alto Networks Stock?
Barchart · 2026-05-08
This Small-Cap Growth Stock Is Down 65%, but Should You Buy the Dip? Here's What Wall Street Thinks.
Motley Fool · 2026-05-07
Is It Time To Reassess Palo Alto Networks (PANW) After Recent Share Price Recovery?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-05-07

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —