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Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

PANW · Technology · · USD
338.31 USD
+0.00 (5.53%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 16:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

90
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 99
Momentum 99
Fundamental 67
Macro 78
Liquidity 61
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 99.2 30%
Momentum 99.4 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 78.4 20%
Liquidity 61.0 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 338.31
Stop Loss 305.87 (9.6%)
Target 1 (1:1) 370.75 (+9.6%)
Target 2 (2:1) 403.19 (+19.2%)
ATR(14) 16.22 (4.8%)
Risk per Share 32.44
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.3 -1.99
Momentum 99.4 +1.98
Quality 25.2 -0.99
Composite 41.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 294.2 28.0 +951% above
P/B Ratio 9.9 6.0 Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
35.84
vs
Market Price
338.31
Upside
-89.4%
Margin of Safety -843.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)5,760,766,858
Terminal Value PV23,451,654,850
Total Enterprise Value29,212,421,708

Assumptions

Base FCF749,799,954
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
56.9%
Full Kelly
28.45%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 90/100. Estimated win rate 67%, avg win 10.4%, avg loss 3.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
64.05
RSI(14)
22.5988
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

97
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+83.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance +46.8% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 64.05 NEUTRAL
Macd 22.5988 BULLISH
Ma Cross 264.19 / 204.15 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.09x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High368.17
Bollinger Upper367.2
SMA(200)204.15
SMA(50)264.19
SMA(20)307.16
Current Price338.31
Bollinger Lower247.12
52-Week Low139.57
ATR(14)16.22

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-02 Normal 0.98x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06 Normal 1.11x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 1.12x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 1.2x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 1.09x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 329.09 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 309.66 Base line
Senkou A 319.37 Leading span A
Senkou B 270.64 Leading span B
Cloud 270.64 – 319.37 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 338.31 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 297.18 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 247.12 – 367.2  |  KC: 283.89 – 330.43

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 4
Hidden Bullish RSI 21
Regular Bearish RSI 27

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 217.27 Anchor: 2026-02-24 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +55.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/PANW

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap275.72B
P/E (TTM)294.18
Forward P/EN/A
P/B9.94
EPS1.15

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth31.1%
Profit Margin7.9%
ROE4.8%
Debt/Equity7.70
Current Ratio0.86
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.91

Trading Data

338.31
Open
338.31
Day High
338.31
Day Low
8.42M
Volume (1.0x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —