Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
PANW · Technology · · USDFahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)
82
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
99
Momentum
96
Fundamental (0%)
83
Macro
71
Liquidity
44
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 99.2 | 20% |
| Momentum | 95.9 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 0% |
| Macro | 71.2 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 44.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 335.70 |
| Stop Loss | 304.84 (9.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 366.56 (+9.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 397.42 (+18.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 15.43 (4.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 30.86 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0.4 | -1.99 | |
| Momentum | 95.9 | +1.83 | |
| Quality | 25.2 | -0.99 | |
| Composite | 40.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
78.08
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 292.9 | 28.0 | +946% above |
| P/B Ratio | 9.9 | 6.0 | Above |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
35.84
vs
Market Price
336.83
Upside
-89.4%
| Margin of Safety | -839.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 5,760,767,208 |
| Terminal Value PV | 23,451,656,275 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 29,212,423,483 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 749,800,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.8%
Recommended Size
52.56%
Full Kelly
26.28%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 82/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 9.9%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
62.8
RSI(14)
21.7405
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
97
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+90.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +85.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 62.8 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 21.7405 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 267.29 / 204.78 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.06x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 368.17 |
| Bollinger Upper | 368.35 |
| SMA(200) | 204.78 |
| SMA(50) | 267.29 |
| SMA(20) | 310.78 |
| Current Price | 336.83 |
| Bollinger Lower | 253.21 |
| 52-Week Low | 139.57 |
| ATR(14) | 15.43 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-07 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-08 | Normal | 1.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-09 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-10 | No Demand | 0.06x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 336.75 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 309.66 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 323.21 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 270.64 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 270.64 – 323.21 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 335.70 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 280.43 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 253.21 – 368.35 | KC: 288.05 – 333.52
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 5 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 22 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 28 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 217.34
Anchor: 2026-02-24 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+54.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/PANW
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 274.52B |
| P/E (TTM) | 292.90 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 9.90 |
| EPS | 1.15 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 31.1% |
| Profit Margin | 7.9% |
| ROE | 4.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 7.70 |
| Current Ratio | 0.86 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.91 |
Trading Data
336.83
Open
336.83
Day High
336.83
Day Low
390.3K
Volume (0.0x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)